Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 4.033000 4.803376 5.660740 6.682722 7.864664 9.185446 10.769810
2025-09-14 2.754289 3.692562 4.846160 6.357097 8.270730 10.599365 13.631368
2025-09-21 2.089947 3.093094 4.431949 6.323865 8.897974 12.243410 16.878712
2025-09-28 1.646197 2.656927 4.105266 6.288397 9.441880 13.767987 20.071495
2025-10-05 1.440474 2.502292 4.117372 6.685290 10.579795 16.159654 24.621521
2025-10-12 1.238106 2.304642 4.019518 6.883070 11.422073 18.183507 28.807490
2025-10-19 1.095320 2.171899 3.992274 7.168350 12.403467 20.472427 33.547586
2025-10-26 0.932326 1.969701 3.813776 7.172991 12.924502 22.085441 37.373635
2025-11-02 0.763419 1.721351 3.513144 6.921839 12.983125 22.955391 40.084137
2025-11-09 0.628274 1.510062 3.243107 6.680421 13.016594 23.764477 42.730165
2025-11-16 0.545625 1.389541 3.123528 6.692545 13.483265 25.313568 46.683455
2025-11-23 0.476283 1.283419 3.014725 6.707070 13.947150 26.881661 50.764348
2025-11-30 0.406955 1.164649 2.865487 6.630236 14.246507 28.210330 54.579329
2025-12-07 0.330685 1.011374 2.617199 6.317494 14.058259 28.647050 56.858409
2025-12-14 0.286104 0.928229 2.510805 6.287589 14.420183 30.114089 61.083237
2025-12-21 0.247893 0.852832 2.409375 6.253232 14.765162 31.568661 65.375707
2025-12-28 0.237483 0.854340 2.494064 6.648459 16.041736 34.899717 73.385494
2026-01-04 0.217914 0.823922 2.493820 6.845366 16.910547 37.489758 80.141123
2026-01-11 0.204089 0.808124 2.528720 7.129293 17.992684 40.573931 88.029914
2026-01-18 0.180432 0.754300 2.453414 7.133920 18.451845 42.426833 93.616571
2026-01-25 0.151023 0.672329 2.285881 6.883984 18.305260 43.018462 96.727856
2026-02-01 0.126406 0.599645 2.130929 6.643738 18.153172 43.579618 99.800435
2026-02-08 0.112310 0.562335 2.073996 6.655802 18.600046 45.442935 105.642602